0x54F017c3AB1c9dfd169E62bB5e99D147fFa57725-1775648564108
0x54f017c3ab1c9dfd169e62bb5e99d147ffa57725
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $474.1k
- Markets traded
- 466
- Open portfolio
- $1.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded466
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.235Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$1.7kat 0.302Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$1.5kat 0.177Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?
- +$1.3kat 0.270Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.346Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:33 | Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1963688605 | $188.63 |
| 09-27 20:25 | Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3123091781 | $300.00 |
| 09-27 20:25 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.09 | $94.03 |
| 09-27 19:40 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.5999999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:46 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6799999994 | $300.00 |
| 09-27 18:19 | Exact Score: Israel 1 - 1 Republic of Ireland? | BUY | 0.15 | $60.00 |
| 09-27 18:17 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:17 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:17 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Portugal? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 09-27 18:15 | Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:15 | Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 17:52 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 17:51 | Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $110.00 |
| 09-27 17:37 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.86 | $48.68 |
| 09-27 17:13 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $30.00 |