PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x54F017c3AB1c9dfd169E62bB5e99D147fFa57725-1775648564108

0x54f017c3ab1c9dfd169e62bb5e99d147ffa57725

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$474.1k
Markets traded
466
Open portfolio
$1.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded466
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.001$0.42−$209.58
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Portugal? · Yes0.1200.001$0.25−$59.75
Exact Score: Israel 1 - 1 Republic of Ireland? · Yes0.1500.001$0.20−$59.80
Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.001$0.17−$99.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up0.4870.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.3410.000$0.00−$500.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$400.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.4060.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down0.2540.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$30.00
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 1 AFC Bournemouth? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.3980.000$0.00−$9.00
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Liverpool FC? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 20:33Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw?SELL0.1963688605$188.63
09-27 20:25Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw?BUY0.3123091781$300.00
09-27 20:25Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.09$94.03
09-27 19:40Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.5999999988$100.00
09-27 18:46Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6799999994$300.00
09-27 18:19Exact Score: Israel 1 - 1 Republic of Ireland?BUY0.15$60.00
09-27 18:17Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.689999999$100.00
09-27 18:17Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.689999999$100.00
09-27 18:17Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Portugal?BUY0.12$60.00
09-27 18:15Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.25$100.00
09-27 18:15Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?BUY0.2999999994$100.00
09-27 17:52Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6799999981$100.00
09-27 17:51Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.25$110.00
09-27 17:37Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.86$48.68
09-27 17:13Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.5299999961$30.00