0x54e2fb7220235aaa069fba89d1b6ea3bfb73e1dd
0x54e2fb7220235aaa069fba89d1b6ea3bfb73e1dd
- Realised P&L
- $-11.28
- Volume
- $257.31
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $4.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.997 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.940 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.130 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.82at 0.288Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$2.86at 0.450Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.80at 0.450US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.64at 0.470Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 22:37 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:35 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:22 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:22 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:15 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:39 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:19 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:42 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 15:42 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999933 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 07:29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999741 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 21:41 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999897 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:15 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 04:52 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 19:23 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.29 |