reth567
0x54e16c59250a1b7752b1f7dc755d0617fe4ea000
- Realised P&L
- $-83.09
- Volume
- $598.44
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $78.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.829 | 0.841 | $78.07 | +$1.07 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9? · Yes | 0.677 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.95at 0.632Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
- +$9.15at 0.880Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
- +$8.05at 0.896Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.70at 0.930Maduro out in 2025?
- +$4.39at 0.903Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.8294918327 | $77.00 |
| 06-24 05:26 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8929999993 | $69.00 |
| 06-21 12:56 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6799999964 | $45.00 |
| 04-30 11:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.9 | $41.00 |
| 04-29 09:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | SELL | 0.991 | $41.34 |
| 04-15 06:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | BUY | 0.7399999967 | $30.55 |
| 04-09 13:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9? | BUY | 0.8399999987 | $74.52 |
| 03-17 10:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | BUY | 0.88 | $67.12 |
| 12-12 16:51 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9299999876 | $62.43 |