greenecynthia
0x54dba0f722a9f95f80edf100c16e108d63ace65a
- Realised P&L
- $-23.68
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $26.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.705 | $26.50 | +$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.58at 0.270Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$6.06at 0.720Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.11at 0.723Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
- +$0.92at 0.977Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$0.54at 0.984OpenAI browser in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:58 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.62 |
| 01-31 13:27 | Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.15 |
| 01-30 16:13 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.46 |
| 01-30 14:52 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.29 |
| 01-30 12:49 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.35 |
| 12-30 10:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999806 | $17.63 |
| 12-29 22:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999356 | $13.26 |
| 12-29 20:49 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.77 |
| 12-29 19:12 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.11 |
| 10-30 23:07 | Will XRP reach $3.30 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.58 |
| 10-30 21:19 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.36 |
| 10-30 20:29 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.86 |
| 09-29 17:28 | Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $15.40 |
| 09-29 14:54 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.29 |
| 09-28 21:53 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September? | BUY | 0.9979999932 | $13.70 |