armhermit
0x54da3fc8bb8dcbd06ab4393e6b8e7b0bf70b93e6
- Realised P&L
- $9.35
- Volume
- $354.86
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $14.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Holstein Kiel 1 - 0 Hertha BSC? · No | 0.932 | 0.923 | $5.84 | −$0.06 |
| Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-10-16? · No | 0.720 | 0.735 | $5.48 | +$0.11 |
| Wieczysta Krakow vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.650 | 0.575 | $3.18 | −$0.41 |
| FK Termez Surkhon vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.59 |
| FK Termez Surkhon vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Tai Po FC vs. Lion City Sailors FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.99 |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. Lillestrøm SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| CA All Boys vs. CD Godoy Cruz: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.31at 0.672AD San Carlos vs. Inter San Carlos: O/U 1.5
- +$3.03at 0.790Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$2.68at 0.581Psim Yogyakarta vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 1.5
- +$2.31at 0.812Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-10-15?
- +$2.15at 0.650Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:43 | Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.37 |
| 10-16 15:52 | Will Aluminij Kidricevo win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.78 | $5.50 |
| 10-16 15:46 | FK Radnik Surdulica vs. FK Radnicki Nis: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.84 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 15:42 | FK Termez Surkhon vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.23 | $1.05 |
| 10-16 02:36 | Will Real Cartagena FC win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.825 | $8.71 |
| 10-16 01:36 | Will Real Cartagena FC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.77 | $8.14 |
| 10-16 01:01 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.80 |
| 10-16 00:42 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.99 |
| 10-15 20:34 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.86 | $5.95 |
| 10-15 19:15 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.21 |
| 10-15 17:30 | AC Sparta Praha vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $2.22 |
| 10-15 17:16 | Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 16:55 | Exact Score: HNK Hajduk Split 1 - 0 AFC Ajax? | BUY | 0.949 | $4.99 |
| 10-15 14:23 | Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.69 | $4.93 |
| 10-15 01:11 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.67 | $9.19 |