0x54d584d5f9e22065968566be78960e15AD14b702-1771673369647
0x54d584d5f9e22065968566be78960e15ad14b702
- Realised P&L
- $-8.74
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $8.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.765 | $8.50 | +$5.50 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.19at 0.055Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$-1.00at 0.002Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.050Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$-2.00at 0.008Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 20:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0920542477 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 20:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 03-03 07:23 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.340550055 | $6.19 |
| 02-21 14:47 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 14:47 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0086028906 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 14:46 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 14:46 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 14:45 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 14:41 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.0106987952 | $4.46 |
| 02-21 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.00 |
| 02-21 14:01 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 14:01 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $8.00 |
| 02-21 13:52 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0549999486 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 13:51 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 13:49 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |