PolyBot

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Traders

0x54d584d5f9e22065968566be78960e15AD14b702-1771673369647

0x54d584d5f9e22065968566be78960e15ad14b702

Realised P&L
$-8.74
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$8.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · Yes0.2700.765$8.50+$5.50
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-05 20:00Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.0920542477$5.00
03-05 20:00Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
03-03 07:23Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.340550055$6.19
02-21 14:47Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
02-21 14:47Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY0.0086028906$1.00
02-21 14:46Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY0.008$1.00
02-21 14:46Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
02-21 14:45Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
02-21 14:41Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL0.0106987952$4.46
02-21 14:16Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.012$2.00
02-21 14:01Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
02-21 14:01Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.012$8.00
02-21 13:52Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0549999486$1.00
02-21 13:51US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
02-21 13:49OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?BUY0.269999937$3.00