volknevolk
0x54d03b3640b136e11f7386d9236a39a832e05fda
- Realised P&L
- $8.28
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $280.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? · No | 0.960 | 0.985 | $61.34 | +$1.53 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.981 | $60.68 | +$1.92 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.984 | $60.50 | +$0.52 |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · No | 0.993 | 0.971 | $49.24 | −$1.12 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.988 | $48.86 | +$1.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.31at 0.912Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
- +$1.02at 0.980Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$0.56at 0.973Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
- +$0.56at 0.980Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
- +$0.49at 0.973Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:36 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.991 | $49.80 |
| 04-10 12:10 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.9729999902 | $20.31 |