PolyBot

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Traders

0x54c7b44a1b2282f1b88334244626fd6aee0a4a9a

0x54c7b44a1b2282f1b88334244626fd6aee0a4a9a

Realised P&L
$-517.80
Volume
$36.7k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$651.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5890.535$454.44−$45.56
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.1800.155$86.11−$13.89
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8901.000$56.18+$6.18
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.4650.200$55.19−$73.06
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00−$500.00
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$49.99
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$100.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$200.00
Israel closes its airspace by July 24? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$50.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$100.00
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England0.4700.000$0.00−$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 20:14Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?BUY0.4647936071$128.25
08-14 20:14Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.1799999987$100.00
08-14 20:13Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.0658301968$100.00
07-24 11:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.2899999981$100.00
07-24 11:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.2899999981$100.00
07-24 11:20Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.05$50.00
07-19 20:56Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.5299999986$50.00
07-19 19:50Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0699999987$50.00
07-19 19:49Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.0907350446$100.00
07-19 19:43Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5969999998$400.00
07-15 21:11Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5749999991$100.00
07-15 21:06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999994$290.00
07-15 20:48England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4699999969$75.00
07-14 19:22Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5886343679$500.00
07-07 17:53Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1319999994$200.00