d0c0
0x54c3aa14cb9bf34e93969db88b9ec5069c3711c6
- Realised P&L
- $29.33
- Volume
- $142.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $7.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Patrick Bailey win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? · No | 0.994 | 0.996 | $6.79 | +$0.01 |
| Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.08 | +$0.01 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.27at 0.007Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$8.72at 0.010Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.53at 0.006Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.04at 0.990Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.25at 0.990Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 09:29 | Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $3.50 |
| 06-12 09:29 | Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.07 |
| 06-12 09:28 | Will Patrick Bailey win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | BUY | 0.994 | $6.78 |
| 06-12 09:26 | Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.02 |
| 06-12 09:26 | Will App A be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.01 |
| 06-12 09:25 | Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.01 |
| 06-12 09:24 | Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949998894 | $5.31 |
| 06-12 09:24 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.78 |
| 06-12 09:24 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.24 |
| 06-12 09:22 | Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.14 |
| 06-12 09:22 | Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.59 |
| 06-12 09:21 | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9819996432 | $1.09 |
| 06-12 09:21 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.50 |
| 06-12 09:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.20 |
| 06-12 09:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 12? | BUY | 0.9849998311 | $1.05 |