ligmaballsac
0x54bc4451157a10390034a40e17959091f8b76bcf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $44.2k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.567 | 0.350 | $1.5k | −$951.51 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down | 0.831 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$384.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.77at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$197.93at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$167.58at 0.562Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$106.52at 0.721Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$103.28at 0.776Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 18:15 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.485000612 | $958.95 |
| 08-25 14:24 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.6635514641 | $993.87 |
| 08-21 14:43 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.5887921787 | $530.00 |
| 08-13 09:08 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.3818317038 | $576.82 |
| 08-03 19:11 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.6445019827 | $973.63 |
| 04-09 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999979 | $374.23 |
| 04-06 12:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | SELL | 0.409046479 | $49.55 |
| 04-06 12:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1550665575 | $17.57 |
| 04-06 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.9474896999 | $259.87 |
| 04-06 12:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999996 | $213.35 |
| 04-06 11:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $26.95 |
| 04-06 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $17.72 |
| 04-06 11:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $56.93 |
| 04-06 11:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999994 | $27.27 |
| 04-06 11:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.699999993 | $19.14 |