0x54bbdfde1835f5bb8a4d2a73bed62e451c95f56c
0x54bbdfde1835f5bb8a4d2a73bed62e451c95f56c
- Realised P&L
- $-33.66
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $21.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 1.000 | $20.82 | +$15.82 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Lesotho vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.04at 0.942Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$-5.00at 0.010Solana Up or Down - September 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$-8.12at 0.584Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:20 | Will Lesotho vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:19 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:12 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 16:10 | Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.49 |
| 09-28 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:05 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:04 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 20:49 | Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 20:48 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.73 |
| 09-20 20:45 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 09:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 09:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.027100271 | $1.00 |