doyoufeelit
0x54bbbee2e818dd66b36ae37a178d135fd1bc35e5
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $3.07M
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.203 | $2.0k | +$35.00 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.295 | $491.67 | −$8.33 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $121.88 | −$28.12 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.018 | $116.70 | +$16.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.850Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
- +$3.3kat 0.340Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$2.9kat 0.920Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$1.4kat 0.453Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
- +$1.4kat 0.816Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:40 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 17:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-31 16:02 | Auburn vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.2299999983 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 16:01 | Northwestern vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 01:09 | Heat vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 01:03 | Heat vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 23:11 | Pistons vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 10-27 22:12 | Trail Blazers vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.5399999974 | $80.00 |
| 10-24 01:06 | Grizzlies vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.4 | $60.00 |
| 10-24 01:06 | Grizzlies vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 10-16 23:37 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0149955262 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 18:30 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 03:55 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.204 | $81.60 |
| 07-11 23:20 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 23:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $103.50 |