PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x54ba9ceae773d1ec48255b258a88559402a34b30

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$407.54

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 8? · No0.4760.455$82.55−$3.74
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8? · No0.6700.605$53.84−$5.79
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10? · No0.5200.475$36.91−$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8? · Yes0.2000.200$20.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 9? · No0.8620.794$15.89−$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 9? · No0.8700.775$15.50−$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 9? · No0.7600.755$15.10−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 10? · No0.6400.640$12.80+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9? · No0.6100.605$12.10−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 10? · No0.6000.565$11.30−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? · No0.7500.730$10.95−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 8? · Yes0.2800.270$10.86−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 10? · No0.8200.720$10.80−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 9? · Yes0.1400.100$10.00−$4.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9? · Yes0.5600.495$9.90−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:38Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9?SELL0.53$2.21
10-08 13:10Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9?SELL0.84$2.70
10-08 13:08Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8?SELL0.62$0.07
10-08 12:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 8?SELL0.61$1.07
10-08 12:27Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8?SELL0.38$0.41
10-08 12:27Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 8?SELL0.25$0.40
10-08 12:27Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 8?SELL0.33$0.51
10-08 12:27Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8?SELL0.51$1.02
10-08 12:27Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 8?SELL0.52$1.08
10-08 12:27Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?SELL0.51$1.34