0x54ba9ceae773d1ec48255b258a88559402a34b30
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $407.54
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.40at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 9?
- +$7.40at 0.173Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 9?
- +$6.84at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 8?
- +$5.60at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 9?
- +$4.20at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.21 |
| 10-08 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.70 |
| 10-08 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.62 | $0.07 |
| 10-08 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.07 |
| 10-08 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.41 |
| 10-08 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.40 |
| 10-08 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.51 |
| 10-08 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 10-08 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.08 |
| 10-08 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.34 |