dntmfc
0x54b639a7f6bae71722946e783793a8392defb9e1
- Realised P&L
- $48.93
- Volume
- $964.26
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $67.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.341 | 0.135 | $55.38 | −$84.61 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.042 | $12.19 | +$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.93at 0.679Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?
- +$1.00at 0.991Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:41 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $40.00 |
| 09-27 20:40 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037426383 | $10.99 |
| 09-03 19:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 19:43 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 19:40 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9909999991 | $110.00 |