felton37Fingerlime4
0x54b2a23f9e318e3a1c82ae55a4b2a35c9758478a
- Realised P&L
- $-25.06
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $0.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar? · Yes | 0.449 | 0.315 | $0.71 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.81at 0.540Ducks vs. Wild
- +$7.28at 0.440Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
- +$6.92at 0.440Jets vs. Kraken
- +$6.20at 0.480Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA
- +$4.61at 0.270Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:19 | Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.54 |
| 09-26 02:38 | Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.30 |
| 09-19 09:58 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.03 |
| 09-17 07:00 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $9.01 |
| 09-16 04:16 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $9.24 |
| 09-14 18:09 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.56 |
| 09-06 18:04 | Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.75 |
| 09-02 05:01 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.96 |
| 08-30 19:12 | Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.32 |
| 08-29 09:47 | Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.53 |
| 08-26 03:27 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.64 | $13.44 |
| 08-22 16:41 | Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.80 |
| 08-21 00:33 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.86 |
| 08-18 07:58 | Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.90 |
| 08-17 03:11 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.95 |