salmonspiller
0x54b0804b17c2130d01251b70b6557a1113be755d
- Realised P&L
- $-43.54
- Volume
- $46.2k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $28.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.94at 0.308US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$78.00at 0.220Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 13?
- +$21.69at 0.770Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 8?
- +$16.30at 0.200Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$9.50at 0.810Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 21:16 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $96.00 |
| 04-08 22:03 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | SELL | 0.526 | $26.30 |
| 03-21 01:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21? | BUY | 0.974 | $38.95 |
| 03-21 01:49 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 03-21 01:47 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 03-21 01:47 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 03-21 01:46 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 03-21 01:46 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 03-12 18:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $98.89 |
| 02-27 18:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.80 |
| 02-20 19:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.961 | $70.35 |
| 02-20 19:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 21? | BUY | 0.045 | $4.50 |
| 01-28 23:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29? | BUY | 0.983 | $28.88 |
| 01-24 21:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 26? | BUY | 0.952 | $27.49 |
| 01-24 21:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 26? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |