PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

salmonspiller

0x54b0804b17c2130d01251b70b6557a1113be755d

Realised P&L
$-43.54
Volume
$46.2k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$28.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0800.024$28.20−$67.80
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 21? · No0.0450.000$0.00−$4.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 26? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$9.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$12.50
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 13? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$40.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$19.50
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 21? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$2.45
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 28? · No0.0350.000$0.00−$3.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29? · Yes0.9830.000$0.00−$28.88
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$54.59
Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$45.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$16.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00−$127.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 21:16Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$96.00
04-08 22:03Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?SELL0.526$26.30
03-21 01:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?BUY0.974$38.95
03-21 01:49Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.13$6.50
03-21 01:47Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.2$10.00
03-21 01:47US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.08$8.00
03-21 01:46US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.23$23.00
03-21 01:46Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.13$13.00
03-12 18:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?SELL0.999$98.89
02-27 18:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?BUY0.96$28.80
02-20 19:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21?BUY0.961$70.35
02-20 19:01Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 21?BUY0.045$4.50
01-28 23:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?BUY0.983$28.88
01-24 21:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 26?BUY0.952$27.49
01-24 21:39Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 26?BUY0.3$9.00