PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Laurenman

0x54a78f8c6e64572111c5683a9efeed25a04c881b

Realised P&L
$-62.1k
Volume
$18.01M
Markets traded
1,318
Open portfolio
$54.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,318
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $600.9140.780$6.5k$1.1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9710.969$6.1k$10.42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7670.795$4.8k+$170.01
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? · Yes0.9030.836$4.5k$361.58
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9710.990$3.3k+$62.74
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? · No0.8450.941$2.1k+$210.49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.9700.981$2.0k+$22.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7370.685$1.9k$146.02
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9300.935$1.9k+$10.00
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · No0.8800.890$1.8k+$20.00
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? · No0.9420.921$1.8k$39.59
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8000.795$1.6k$10.00
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? · Yes0.8060.876$1.5k+$122.50
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026? · No0.9760.976$1.5k$0.57
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · No0.8200.815$1.4k$8.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:50Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.87$4.1k
08-02 21:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?SELL0.94$470.00
08-02 18:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.86$241.39
08-02 14:50Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.9686506535$411.34
08-02 10:03Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.9759826794$475.58
08-02 09:46Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.8$559.58
08-02 09:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.89$528.19
08-02 09:18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.94$600.66
08-02 09:15Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?BUY0.9296570516$573.68
08-02 09:13Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026?BUY0.9717647059$330.40
08-02 09:13Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026?BUY0.9637300579$121.42
08-02 09:06Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.87$2.0k
08-01 21:20Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?BUY0.85$318.50
08-01 21:13Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?BUY0.904$54.24
08-01 21:12Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?BUY0.903925$361.57