PolyBot

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Traders

Laurenman

0x54a78f8c6e64572111c5683a9efeed25a04c881b

Realised P&L
$-60.3k
Volume
$19.11M
Markets traded
1,398
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,398
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.8850.823$1.7k$129.32
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9760.983$479.00+$3.42
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9420.955$75.21+$1.01
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9650.968$67.69+$0.23
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5650.605$59.58+$3.89
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8400.915$12.44+$1.02
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7500.820$2.87+$0.24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June? · No0.7330.000$0.00$1.2k
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.9430.000$0.00$39.36
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? · No0.7750.000$0.00$1.2k
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? · Yes0.7910.000$0.00$63.28
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? · No0.4200.000$0.00$425.90
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 8 2026? · No0.9500.000$0.00$285.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 24? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$222.80
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$37.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 17:20Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?SELL0.69$1.1k
09-10 16:05Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?SELL0.69$95.83
09-10 16:05Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?SELL0.7$105.00
09-08 15:38Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?SELL0.68$408.00
09-08 14:48Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?SELL0.88$189.35
09-08 14:46Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?SELL0.7$355.31
09-05 20:44Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?SELL0.7660760586$3.3k
08-30 14:43Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?SELL0.938$2.3k
08-30 13:41Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.85$170.00
08-30 13:33Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?SELL0.944$236.00
08-30 10:48Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?SELL0.9451274659$124.57
08-30 10:34Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?SELL0.955$95.50
08-30 10:32Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.84$16.80
08-30 10:31Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.84$58.80
08-30 10:09Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?SELL0.9497617868$99.72