Laurenman
0x54a78f8c6e64572111c5683a9efeed25a04c881b
- Realised P&L
- $-60.3k
- Volume
- $19.11M
- Markets traded
- 1,398
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,398
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.500Will Solana reach $260 September 15-21?
- +$2.7kat 0.839U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
- +$2.6kat 0.596Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.982Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
- +$1.7kat 0.662US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 17:20 | Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.1k |
| 09-10 16:05 | Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.69 | $95.83 |
| 09-10 16:05 | Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.7 | $105.00 |
| 09-08 15:38 | Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.68 | $408.00 |
| 09-08 14:48 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $189.35 |
| 09-08 14:46 | Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.7 | $355.31 |
| 09-05 20:44 | Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.7660760586 | $3.3k |
| 08-30 14:43 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.938 | $2.3k |
| 08-30 13:41 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 08-30 13:33 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.944 | $236.00 |
| 08-30 10:48 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.9451274659 | $124.57 |
| 08-30 10:34 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.955 | $95.50 |
| 08-30 10:32 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 08-30 10:31 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $58.80 |
| 08-30 10:09 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.9497617868 | $99.72 |