asdasdfvasdfasdf
0x54a5eadaca85880b4f5577068958c8e6614b877b
- Realised P&L
- $-81.32
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $40.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.02at 0.118Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$56.66at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$56.55at 0.580Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?
- +$53.69at 0.144Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
- +$35.44at 0.114Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 13:26 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.37 |
| 02-03 18:47 | Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.799 | $4.00 |
| 01-27 08:44 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 01-27 06:57 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.2219580678 | $52.93 |
| 01-25 10:42 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.24 | $72.00 |
| 01-23 08:26 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.0668984774 | $14.54 |
| 01-23 08:26 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.0521440023 | $10.86 |
| 01-23 08:26 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.0423145194 | $7.40 |
| 01-23 08:26 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $4.28 |
| 01-22 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.0734055506 | $10.79 |
| 01-22 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.3242728291 | $52.13 |
| 01-22 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.3386867047 | $93.69 |
| 01-22 16:13 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.065 | $8.02 |
| 01-22 07:54 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0809999926 | $10.00 |
| 01-22 07:53 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.00 |