PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x54A598106e0467DaCc1A4cEd3909582f72aAEe3D-1723093936269

0x54a598106e0467dacc1a4ced3909582f72aaee3d

Realised P&L
$-21.2k
Volume
$4.54M
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5800.680$1.2k+$171.84
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6800.740$374.52+$30.37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5280.285$354.80−$302.35
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.105$105.00−$345.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.3400.017$49.30−$936.68
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2700.026$0.10−$0.90
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5640.000$0.00−$8.9k
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.30
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$509.92
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00−$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 02:01Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.03$24.36
10-01 19:45Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.578$213.28
10-01 17:39Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.57$1.1k
10-01 17:12Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5473010756$3.7k
10-01 17:11Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.2300992949$2.3k
09-29 15:56Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.58$263.41
09-29 15:55Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.26$1.8k
09-29 15:54Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.27$1.3k
09-29 15:49Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$91.92
09-29 15:46Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.19$1.9k
09-15 21:23Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.5305077$1.6k
07-30 00:01Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.22$2.1k
07-27 17:03Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.46386$1.4k
07-27 17:02Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.250512648$7.5k
07-20 19:37Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.362$10.9k