ElCaudillo19
0x54a00376ee001a478471c13a87506a44f2004134
- Realised P&L
- $-646.88
- Volume
- $106.4k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $0.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$664.29at 0.072Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?
- +$315.58at 0.181Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14?
- +$299.05at 0.336Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?
- +$258.83at 0.078Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?
- +$199.59at 0.126Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:07 | Will Nico Hulkenberg achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1995416827 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 21:28 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 23:43 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $80.52 |
| 10-02 13:23 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2732281369 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 14:35 | Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 14:33 | Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.042999996 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 22:45 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 22? | BUY | 0.2599999945 | $30.00 |
| 06-21 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 22? | BUY | 0.0147781431 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 22? | BUY | 0.0958970449 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.1149207527 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.1086419566 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.2143466002 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21? | SELL | 0.1736426975 | $13.21 |
| 06-21 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 22? | BUY | 0.128679884 | $30.00 |