PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x549136f99690bde1385246fe2335ad13747fa8f5

Realised P&L
$978.80
Volume
$40.4k
Markets traded
1,015
Open portfolio
$812.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,015
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H? · Yes0.5001.000$40.67+$20.33
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5000.555$33.30+$3.30
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0150.978$30.20+$29.73
Will Kyler Murray be the Vikings' Week 1 starting QB? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Exact Score: CA Grau 3 - 1 CU Técnica de Cajamarca? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Exact Score: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 1 - 0 Liaoning Tieren FC? · Yes0.0591.000$30.00+$28.24
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3371.000$30.00+$19.89
Exact Score: FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Will CDT Real Oruro win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 20:50Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?SELL0.18$1.01
07-12 19:21Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?SELL0.2016666667$6.05
07-12 15:19Will The MongolZ Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?SELL0.07$1.69
07-12 15:17Will Falcons Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?SELL0.28$2.04
07-12 15:17Will Vitality Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?SELL0.3$3.06
07-12 15:17Will Falcons Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?SELL0.28$1.40
07-12 15:14Will Spirit Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?SELL0.29$1.06
07-11 23:55Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?SELL0.17$0.04
07-11 09:53Will Eduardo Camavinga join Paris Saint-Germain?SELL0.412$12.36
07-11 02:20Will Eduardo Camavinga join Bayern Munich?SELL0.85$25.50
07-10 20:01Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?SELL0.9174546667$27.52
07-10 15:42Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?SELL0.34$10.20
07-10 15:42Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?SELL0.32$9.60
07-09 23:08Will the Los Angeles Lakers be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?SELL0.058$0.03
07-09 22:56Will Nongshim RedForce win the EWC Valorant TournamentSELL0.161$3.82