PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5490E136038db2C5baD70674523BD8328D07c60b-1735106287600

0x5490e136038db2c5bad70674523bd8328d07c60b

Realised P&L
$-14.19
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$39.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9981.000$22.03+$0.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21? · Yes0.9960.999$17.73+$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · No0.9980.000$0.00−$17.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 03:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?BUY0.995718405$17.68
10-17 04:14Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?BUY0.994999938$11.95
10-11 21:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?BUY0.9967308627$18.52
10-08 00:22Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.997$11.03
10-06 21:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 7?BUY0.995$15.84
09-29 11:41Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9987593018$22.20
09-25 16:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 26?BUY0.9929999562$13.93
09-22 09:50Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.997$13.01
09-14 14:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15?BUY0.994$23.71
09-11 23:14Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13?BUY0.9969999999$19.46
09-03 02:48Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.998$23.07
08-29 13:11Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in August?BUY0.997$20.78
08-27 01:35Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.998$23.45
08-21 05:36Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 17-23?BUY0.9979999538$13.32
08-19 03:13Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.998$17.60