100000X-905
0x548cc1882650b08890ee53cb69c1d359b8d236bd
- Realised P&L
- $-344.53
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $65.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.060 | $65.04 | −$20.96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Down | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Up | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Down | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down | 0.221 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Down | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Down | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.93at 0.227Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$10.51at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$9.26at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
- +$8.09at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$7.82at 0.390Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 13:55 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.08 | $86.00 |
| 09-16 02:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | SELL | 0.3925 | $7.85 |
| 09-16 02:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $5.57 |
| 09-16 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $1.67 |
| 09-16 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $1.03 |
| 09-16 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8899996084 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $1.31 |
| 09-16 01:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |