PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fyordr

0x548c172f06ab599fc4718e569cd56c73fbdd1da0

Realised P&L
$-347.56
Volume
$37.1k
Markets traded
4,071
Open portfolio
$11.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,071
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1500.105$6.09$2.61
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.1900.140$3.64$1.30
Will Saudi airspace be closed by September 30? · Yes0.1100.055$2.04$2.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.8900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.8600.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Up0.8700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.7500.000$0.00$1.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00$1.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00$1.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00$3.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00$1.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00$2.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00$1.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 05:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.1$0.50
09-20 22:26Will "Puss in Boots: The Last Wish" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?SELL0.1$0.90
09-20 19:32Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 20 million views this week?SELL0.0055660377$0.29
09-20 09:54Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?SELL0.12$0.08
09-20 08:13Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?SELL0.23$1.84
09-20 04:59Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?SELL0.18$8.28
09-19 04:53Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?SELL0.12$0.12
09-19 04:35Greenland snap election called by December 31?SELL0.11$9.02
09-19 04:30Denmark snap election called by December 31?SELL0.09$0.06
09-19 04:12Denmark snap election called by December 31?SELL0.09$8.37
09-19 03:35Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)SELL0.2833333333$8.50
09-19 03:23Denmark snap election called by December 31?SELL0.1$1.60
09-18 21:58Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?SELL0.12$5.52
09-18 08:33Will Trump say "Terror" or "Terrorism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?SELL0.09$0.02
09-18 08:24Will Trump say "Terror" or "Terrorism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?SELL0.09$1.53