0x548b2a4ca57430ba97304791b9ee22624a8217fe
0x548b2a4ca57430ba97304791b9ee22624a8217fe
- Realised P&L
- $-12.00
- Volume
- $290.57
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $12.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 22? · No | 0.860 | 1.000 | $4.60 | +$0.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $2.71 | +$0.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 22? · No | 0.670 | 0.850 | $2.49 | +$0.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? · No | 0.810 | 1.000 | $2.44 | +$0.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.050 | $0.73 | −$1.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.86at 0.291Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 20?
- +$4.76at 0.291Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 19?
- +$2.97at 0.404Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22?
- +$2.42at 0.713Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19?
- +$1.61at 0.555Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.3299999897 | $1.92 |
| 09-21 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5299998967 | $1.95 |
| 09-21 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1299999966 | $1.90 |
| 09-21 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.669999918 | $1.96 |
| 09-21 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2799999942 | $1.92 |
| 09-21 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8599999739 | $1.98 |
| 09-21 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8599999739 | $1.98 |
| 09-20 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.92 |
| 09-20 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7299999373 | $1.98 |
| 09-20 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.98 |
| 09-20 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.98 |
| 09-20 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1799999849 | $1.91 |
| 09-20 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.6769261321 | $1.96 |
| 09-20 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8099999918 | $1.98 |
| 09-20 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6799999586 | $1.97 |