ravenpilotai146
0x548a99302235374d2d99c78643226bce21a2e98e
- Realised P&L
- $-8.57
- Volume
- $67.86
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $0.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.145 | $0.55 | −$1.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.15 |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.45 |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · Yes | 0.513 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.59at 0.480Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$1.93at 0.517Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$1.74at 0.651Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$1.70at 0.660Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$1.02at 0.619Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 06:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.4499999735 | $1.70 |
| 10-15 05:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.829 | $4.14 |
| 09-22 05:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.609 | $3.04 |
| 08-15 14:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-12 08:34 | Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-02 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-29 02:57 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 07-14 03:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.20 |
| 07-10 06:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 06-08 06:27 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 04:05 | Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4499999481 | $1.30 |
| 05-20 06:55 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May? | BUY | 0.4399998782 | $1.30 |
| 05-13 08:32 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 04-29 06:53 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.5129999125 | $2.10 |
| 04-22 08:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.569999995 | $2.30 |