PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Monsei

0x5488d6be193c82cbee3c5dc3638aec97b7ef5dcd

Realised P&L
$-125.27
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$125.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.1030.115$111.98+$11.98
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2100.030$13.07$76.93
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:55Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.1026984977$100.00
01-25 16:28US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
01-25 02:50US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.79$102.60
01-25 00:20US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999998$100.00
01-18 11:39Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.2099999984$90.00
01-18 11:21Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.29$218.29
01-15 21:34Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.2657027881$200.00
01-15 21:28US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?SELL0.981$190.86
01-15 08:56US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY0.9199999998$179.00
01-14 23:08US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.7599999976$25.00