Monsei
0x5488d6be193c82cbee3c5dc3638aec97b7ef5dcd
- Realised P&L
- $-125.27
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $125.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.115 | $111.98 | +$11.98 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.030 | $13.07 | −$76.93 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.29at 0.266Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$11.87at 0.920US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$7.89at 0.760US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$2.60at 0.770US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:55 | Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1026984977 | $100.00 |
| 01-25 16:28 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-25 02:50 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $102.60 |
| 01-25 00:20 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $100.00 |
| 01-18 11:39 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $90.00 |
| 01-18 11:21 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $218.29 |
| 01-15 21:34 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2657027881 | $200.00 |
| 01-15 21:28 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $190.86 |
| 01-15 08:56 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999998 | $179.00 |
| 01-14 23:08 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999976 | $25.00 |