PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HappyFamily

0x5481a5583136827b9f02ea2a407a4076335d554f

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$71.2k
Markets traded
187
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded187
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8670.860$986.24$8.33
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8150.860$519.62+$27.30
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8890.895$503.55+$3.55
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.6090.000$0.00$87.37
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Up0.4850.000$0.00$113.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Up0.7310.000$0.00$76.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Down0.3620.000$0.00$191.31
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.4760.000$0.00$108.39
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$46.29
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.5870.000$0.00$87.35
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down0.5460.000$0.00$98.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.7090.000$0.00$77.75
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Down0.7130.000$0.00$77.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Up0.5190.000$0.00$10.30
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.4880.000$0.00$54.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:03Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.8148208101$492.32
09-17 10:34Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.8886896849$500.00
09-10 21:03Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.8672676669$994.57
05-04 05:26Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?SELL0.015$1.86
05-01 11:17Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.86$6.54
05-01 11:16Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
05-01 10:54Solana Up or Down - May 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.9784345043$100.00
05-01 10:09Solana Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.9181636653$50.00
05-01 10:04Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.99$49.00
05-01 10:00Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.99$50.00
04-03 17:40Solana Up or Down - April 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.4059305994$88.25
04-03 17:09Solana Up or Down - April 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.9725289484$93.68
04-03 17:04Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.4853556301$9.26
04-03 16:59Solana Up or Down - April 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.9868966226$102.59
04-03 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.98$100.58