PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mickoug64

0x54814fc47614155f8e2e5570576f5315d9ce6678

Realised P&L
$-78.81
Volume
$21.9k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$260.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sam Houston vs. Liberty · Liberty0.8300.835$160.96+$0.96
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys · Cowboys0.8100.805$99.38−$0.62
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4440.000$0.00−$50.00
Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5) · Miami (FL)0.6600.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$70.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3340.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$160.00
Falcons vs. Packers · Packers0.7230.000$0.00−$100.00
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-30? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$75.00
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$80.00
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$80.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$70.00
Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C. · Olympiacos B.C.0.7800.000$0.00−$80.00
Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury · Dallas Wings0.6800.000$0.00−$90.00
Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles0.6600.000$0.00−$80.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 14:56Buccaneers vs. CowboysBUY0.8099999993$100.00
10-08 07:29Sam Houston vs. LibertyBUY0.8299999997$160.00
10-07 19:26Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.8599999998$170.00
10-05 07:18Will Armenia win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.85$140.00
10-04 07:35Dolphins vs. VikingsBUY0.829999999$130.00
10-03 16:10UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY0.8299999999$140.00
10-03 05:32Stanford vs. Wake ForestBUY0.8499999997$130.00
10-02 07:06Will Romania win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.8199999996$130.00
10-01 10:12Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C.BUY0.78$80.00
10-01 09:50Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.8099999998$150.00
09-30 09:44Will South Africa win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.7770549606$130.00
09-28 08:38Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.7599999987$70.00
09-28 08:37Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.8299999993$100.00
09-28 08:37Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.6599999983$80.00
09-26 21:19Nebraska vs. Michigan StateBUY0.689999999$100.00