0x547F3Ae24e04103Cf3bfd907Ee05B94A4E7451D5-1779025292789
0x547f3ae24e04103cf3bfd907ee05b94a4e7451d5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $64.8k
- Markets traded
- 937
- Open portfolio
- $2.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded937
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.94at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$118.23at 0.619Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$108.54at 0.432Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$101.81at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 6?
- +$96.77at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 21:00 | Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | SELL | 0.44 | $6.40 |
| 06-14 19:53 | Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | BUY | 0.5 | $21.42 |
| 06-14 18:14 | Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 06-14 16:37 | Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | BUY | 0.41999999 | $16.77 |
| 06-14 16:08 | Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 15:35 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $2.18 |
| 06-14 15:35 | Will Scotland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup? | SELL | 0.12092 | $6.05 |
| 06-14 15:31 | Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.93 |
| 06-14 15:31 | Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.42 | $15.99 |
| 06-14 15:31 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $20.13 |
| 06-14 15:31 | Will Senegal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup? | SELL | 0.64 | $30.08 |
| 06-14 15:31 | Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | SELL | 0.2596372133 | $12.22 |
| 06-14 15:31 | Will Senegal (15) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.34 |
| 06-14 15:31 | Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.81 |
| 06-14 15:31 | Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $18.57 |