0x547e495cD251Dae52ef1af48a2bDe6A582a34e56-1768398890003
0x547e495cd251dae52ef1af48a2bde6a582a34e56
- Realised P&L
- $78.30
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $15.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.075 | $15.00 | −$41.00 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$321.44at 0.395US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$118.89at 0.130US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$-38.03at 0.099US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 05:35 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 07-17 18:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0289942006 | $50.00 |
| 03-31 13:10 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 03-30 15:58 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.056 | $46.04 |
| 03-29 14:45 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.094 | $55.93 |
| 03-29 08:09 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0617397348 | $40.00 |
| 03-28 21:38 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 02-19 09:11 | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-30 18:18 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 01-30 10:50 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 01-14 22:42 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.6107040403 | $911.15 |
| 01-14 22:41 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $167.19 |
| 01-14 17:31 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4008579968 | $289.71 |
| 01-14 17:26 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999993 | $300.00 |
| 01-14 14:07 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999978 | $48.30 |