PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SimonCtan

0x547b8601ea93d2ef06adaa3879d7286446fc8fad

Realised P&L
$-356.97
Volume
$54.0k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1200.115$590.59$25.67
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1000.105$539.57+$25.70
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0650.065$322.50$2.50
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0910.087$103.57$4.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 16:26Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.091$107.71
09-14 16:26Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.1$513.87
09-14 16:26Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.12$616.27
09-14 15:58Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.049$252.19
09-13 15:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.2$19.32
08-20 13:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7299999979$70.51
07-22 02:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.854999999$60.00
07-20 01:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.8922516864$25.00
07-20 01:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETBUY0.95$25.00
07-20 01:29Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.7199999965$25.00
07-08 10:49Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSELL0.0761284801$15.12
07-08 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSELL0.27$1.73
07-08 10:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.51$51.00
07-08 10:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSELL0.83$168.07
07-08 10:36Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.5920539642$60.56