PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

amblified

0x547695835d20a484403eb7a90ec80b6e4956a0fe

Realised P&L
$20.97
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$15.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.9660.983$7.63+$0.13
Will Rashida Tlaib be the MI-12 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.9300.984$5.02+$0.27
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.8600.930$1.08+$0.08
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.9000.925$1.03+$0.03
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? · No0.9200.905$0.98$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:47Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
08-02 18:10Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?SELL0.999$1.01
07-31 16:51Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.9659999974$7.50
07-28 02:35US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.17$1.93
07-26 16:24US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?SELL0.89$4.57
07-24 18:50US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?BUY0.2199999384$2.50
07-22 00:57US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?BUY0.7199995392$1.00
07-22 00:55US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?BUY0.72$2.70
07-22 00:52Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?SELL0.903$1.28
07-21 02:37Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?BUY0.982999998$1.00
07-19 23:48US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?SELL0.93$5.94
07-19 03:35Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?SELL0.987$1.99
07-19 00:02Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?BUY0.985999999$2.00
07-18 00:48Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?BUY0.9699997866$1.00
07-18 00:39Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?BUY0.7$1.00