PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

amblified

0x547695835d20a484403eb7a90ec80b6e4956a0fe

Realised P&L
$21.05
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$25.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026? · No0.9870.977$9.90$0.10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8900.895$7.47+$0.04
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.9730.979$5.03+$0.03
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026? · No0.9750.973$2.49$0.01
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? · No0.9200.935$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:38Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.89$7.43
09-17 06:23Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.9729998383$5.00
09-17 05:29Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?SELL0.81$5.52
09-15 07:14Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?BUY0.689999818$2.35
09-15 07:12Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?BUY0.689999818$2.35
08-19 17:36Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?BUY0.975$2.50
08-19 17:31Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.93$1.03
08-13 23:33Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?BUY0.9865067459$10.00
08-13 23:31Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9769999992$2.50
08-11 02:48S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on August 11?BUY0.99$1.00
08-11 02:05Will Enes Kanter Freedom be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?BUY0.9299997117$1.00
08-02 18:47Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
08-02 18:10Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?SELL0.999$1.01
07-31 16:51Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.9659999974$7.50
07-28 02:35US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.17$1.93