0x5472d7f0ed23003e4a2ee1a3a55577cf848a090e
0x5472d7f0ed23003e4a2ee1a3a55577cf848a090e
- Realised P&L
- $-17.55
- Volume
- $115.05
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $2.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.615 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.845 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.185 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.91at 0.440US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.550Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.620US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.629Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 04:45 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:15 | Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:45 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:05 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:23 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:19 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.62 |
| 08-22 01:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2399999371 | $2.29 |
| 08-21 17:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.6099999547 | $2.29 |
| 08-18 05:14 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999371 | $2.29 |
| 08-17 21:13 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $472.50 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999304 | $2.29 |
| 08-17 11:41 | Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2399999371 | $2.29 |
| 08-17 02:54 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $88 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999308 | $2.29 |