Rajun
0x5470d57fc003371389833e9e072a6727b1827446
- Realised P&L
- $-18.62
- Volume
- $454.23
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $11.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.510 | 1.000 | $10.24 | +$5.02 |
| Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.005 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.27at 0.502Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$0.67at 0.895Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$-2.51at 0.300Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 22:07 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.509999956 | $5.22 |
| 10-17 22:05 | Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 10-17 17:22 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $23.17 |
| 10-17 16:57 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999954 | $12.00 |
| 10-17 15:16 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.8899999141 | $5.70 |
| 10-17 14:28 | Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4899999723 | $8.15 |
| 10-17 14:22 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999954 | $12.00 |