PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162

0x546a5166295433ddda571cde5d077fc46abd1988

Realised P&L
$-9.9k
Volume
$692.6k
Markets traded
60,278
Open portfolio
$75.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded60,278
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1600.986$6.66+$5.58
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2070.985$5.47+$4.32
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M? · No0.8611.000$5.05+$0.70
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8681.000$5.01+$0.66
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.0580.269$5.01+$3.93
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9100.957$4.79+$0.23
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.3050.987$4.27+$2.95
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? · Yes0.3000.989$4.22+$2.94
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes0.1520.508$3.61+$2.53
Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: Aarhus GF O/U 4.5 Corners · Over0.3500.500$2.11+$0.63
Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.5961.000$2.11+$0.85
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · No0.7300.895$1.84+$0.34
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.1200.175$1.63+$0.51
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? · No0.4000.515$1.62+$0.36
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes0.1500.211$1.44+$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:32Map Handicap: IS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)BUY0.6599998544$1.36
10-31 17:26LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5899999543$3.10
10-31 17:06Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.867999996$4.35
10-31 16:59FA Siauliai vs. Dziugas: O/U 4.5BUY0.0939999989$1.00
10-31 16:46Dota 2: World Squad vs CIS Squad (BO1) - PARI Universe ShowmatchBUY0.7$3.50
10-31 16:33Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 31?SELL0.998$4.99
10-31 16:31Counter-Strike: Dark Moon vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageBUY0.6299998401$1.30
10-31 16:31LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5699998454$1.18
10-31 16:12Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?SELL0.999$5.00
10-31 16:09Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)BUY0.4099999301$1.29
10-31 16:06Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.998$4.99
10-31 15:58Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 31?SELL0.998$4.99
10-31 15:50Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 31?SELL0.998$4.99
10-31 15:48FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 0.5BUY0.7899999802$4.00
10-31 15:29Will FC Zlín win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.8299999883$4.25