ToniKr8s
0x54675a2375f2070c8a72cac64352f741670f073c
- Realised P&L
- $343.41
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $54.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.525 | $54.13 | +$4.13 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.426 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$30.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.68at 0.134Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09?
- +$60.12at 0.110Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-10?
- +$50.39at 0.050Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?
- +$47.45at 0.120Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?
- +$44.25at 0.187Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:21 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.49 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 14:59 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.22 | $30.74 |
| 10-10 14:18 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.54 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 14:04 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.62 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 13:56 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.22 | $17.75 |
| 10-10 13:35 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.63 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 13:30 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.27 | $16.26 |
| 10-10 13:30 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.77 | $46.38 |
| 10-10 13:10 | Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.19 | $23.75 |
| 10-10 13:08 | Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8095628257 | $195.74 |
| 10-10 12:48 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.55 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 12:46 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.79 | $162.57 |
| 10-10 12:43 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.52 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 12:43 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.49 | $58.81 |
| 10-10 12:42 | Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.45 | $25.00 |