Ajhollll
0x5462c61c58e8b8676687d7bcdcf19d5f7dfa659c
- Realised P&L
- $-0.31
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $0.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.115 | $0.32 | −$1.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.85at 0.530May 14 NBA Parlay: Celtics and Timberwolves both win?
- +$1.94at 0.670Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO1)
- +$1.82at 0.593Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
- +$1.64at 0.550Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?
- +$1.16at 0.800DOGE prosecutes US Treasury?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 06:07 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $499.49 |
| 07-18 06:07 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $299.99 |
| 07-18 06:07 | Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.991 | $99.89 |
| 07-16 05:47 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $300.00 |
| 07-16 05:46 | Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.992 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 05:45 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $500.00 |
| 04-27 05:48 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $260.30 |
| 04-27 05:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | SELL | 0.998 | $149.97 |
| 04-27 05:48 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.991 | $109.88 |
| 04-24 08:13 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $259.00 |
| 04-24 08:13 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $259.17 |
| 04-24 08:13 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $261.00 |
| 04-24 08:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.96 |
| 04-24 08:10 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.992 | $110.00 |
| 04-03 13:50 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $82.40 |