PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x546019dd894d22a86319efa9455fcd3d1bcfbfd6

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$30.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.4120.952$11.55+$6.55
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.4000.785$9.81+$4.81
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? · No0.7200.675$4.69−$0.31
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3300.170$1.55−$1.45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.3400.050$0.84−$4.85
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes0.2000.030$0.61−$3.39
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.017$0.55−$2.45
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1700.049$0.48−$1.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 10:36Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3299999296$3.00
08-01 10:34Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?BUY0.4119999628$5.00
08-01 10:34Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?BUY0.7199998618$5.00
08-01 10:33Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?BUY0.4$5.00
06-25 17:57Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.06$3.00
06-14 17:03Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?SELL0.201$4.17
06-14 17:02Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY0.0429999803$2.00
06-14 17:02Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.027184453$2.00
05-27 18:02Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.9829999966$2.00
05-27 17:56Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
05-25 18:42José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?BUY0.2$4.00
05-25 18:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1749999705$4.00
05-24 15:56Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
05-24 10:02Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.98$5.69
05-24 10:00Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.339999963$5.69