TheodoreViolet
0x5458787e35a737464ec364012ed5ac9a28140566
- Realised P&L
- $-88.32
- Volume
- $165.3k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $39.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 26? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.999 | $39.20 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.19at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?
- +$0.17at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?
- +$0.15at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 21?
- +$0.14at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 15?
- +$0.13at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 06:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.18 |
| 09-25 05:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $36.43 |
| 09-23 06:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.70 |
| 09-22 06:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.64 |
| 09-21 06:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.995 | $36.71 |
| 09-19 04:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 19? | BUY | 0.996 | $25.46 |
| 09-18 07:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 18? | BUY | 0.997 | $31.73 |
| 09-17 05:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.41 |
| 09-16 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.48 |
| 09-12 03:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.68 |
| 09-11 06:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.49 |
| 09-09 03:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.45 |
| 09-08 03:39 | Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.71 |
| 09-05 05:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.59 |
| 09-04 05:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.72 |