PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5454Ad6bfAC606891B16Fb13acD878cBD2D63805-1776431147984

0x5454ad6bfac606891b16fb13acd878cbd2d63805

Realised P&L
$-52.35
Volume
$182.8k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2850.275$1.2k$41.50
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.8260.768$89.32$6.68
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1300.075$78.00$57.60
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1100.065$32.50$22.50
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.0350.027$21.05$6.57
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$20.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$17.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$50.20
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$11.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$10.00
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$15.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 10:25Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.046$3.21
09-17 15:26Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.024$1.20
09-17 07:41Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.14$5.60
09-17 04:19Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.048$0.24
09-16 16:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.1$33.33
09-08 16:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1199999998$40.00
08-24 07:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$192.00
08-11 13:14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2999999967$55.00
08-11 13:14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2999999995$320.00
08-11 13:13Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.94$376.00
08-11 13:12Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3$30.00
08-10 19:00Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.001$21.18
08-09 08:04Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?SELL0.75$314.52
07-23 20:05Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$1.66
07-23 19:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.66$10.56