0x5454Ad6bfAC606891B16Fb13acD878cBD2D63805-1776431147984
0x5454ad6bfac606891b16fb13acd878cbd2d63805
- Realised P&L
- $-52.35
- Volume
- $182.8k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$269.11at 0.920Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$139.16at 0.797Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$100.84at 0.092Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$97.15at 0.174Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$66.66at 0.133Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:25 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.046 | $3.21 |
| 09-17 15:26 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 07:41 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 09-17 04:19 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.24 |
| 09-16 16:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $33.33 |
| 09-08 16:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $40.00 |
| 08-24 07:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $192.00 |
| 08-11 13:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2999999967 | $55.00 |
| 08-11 13:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2999999995 | $320.00 |
| 08-11 13:13 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.94 | $376.00 |
| 08-11 13:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 08-10 19:00 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $21.18 |
| 08-09 08:04 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $314.52 |
| 07-23 20:05 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.66 |
| 07-23 19:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.66 | $10.56 |