PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Golfinho10

0x5453e36b062bec189a2b33f0a3a5804e2c2e65ce

Realised P&L
$9.5k
Volume
$775.9k
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$19.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4010.541$18.0k+$4.6k
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.4890.380$1.9k$544.25
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.0760.096$17.62+$3.62
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0250.001$4.90$245.63
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$999.98
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals · Cincinnati Reds0.5600.000$0.00$500.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 15:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5089999997$95.01
09-12 13:59Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0762685087$14.00
09-10 16:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.522$201.27
09-10 13:02Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.482$2.61
09-09 20:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.464108718$473.85
09-08 01:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4139999998$39.38
09-08 01:53Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.408$28.15
09-07 22:55Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.399$47.88
09-07 22:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.399$81.80
09-07 21:32Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.580965169$204.83
09-01 02:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3929999985$133.39
09-01 02:21Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.1002562291$133.39
08-31 14:17Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.4652295648$789.90
08-31 14:14Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.4486934087$821.65
08-27 23:14Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2373605479$869.31