Golfinho10
0x5453e36b062bec189a2b33f0a3a5804e2c2e65ce
- Realised P&L
- $9.5k
- Volume
- $775.9k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $19.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.401 | 0.541 | $18.0k | +$4.6k |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.380 | $1.9k | −$544.25 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.096 | $17.62 | +$3.62 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.001 | $4.90 | −$245.63 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.98 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals · Cincinnati Reds | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.486Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli
- +$2.9kat 0.364Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
- +$2.7kat 0.529Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$2.2kat 0.448Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$2.2kat 0.407Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 15:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5089999997 | $95.01 |
| 09-12 13:59 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0762685087 | $14.00 |
| 09-10 16:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.522 | $201.27 |
| 09-10 13:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.482 | $2.61 |
| 09-09 20:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.464108718 | $473.85 |
| 09-08 01:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4139999998 | $39.38 |
| 09-08 01:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.408 | $28.15 |
| 09-07 22:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.399 | $47.88 |
| 09-07 22:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.399 | $81.80 |
| 09-07 21:32 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.580965169 | $204.83 |
| 09-01 02:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3929999985 | $133.39 |
| 09-01 02:21 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.1002562291 | $133.39 |
| 08-31 14:17 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.4652295648 | $789.90 |
| 08-31 14:14 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4486934087 | $821.65 |
| 08-27 23:14 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2373605479 | $869.31 |