PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

fmntour

0x5448227a1c2a106ba44fa037f836962280ef18e9

Realised P&L
$-10.1k
Volume
$52.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$573.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-19.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1240.055$441.90$558.10
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8000.983$122.81+$22.81
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.044$8.80$41.20
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December? · No0.6230.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? · No0.2900.000$0.00$25.19
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$50.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10? · No0.2400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? · No0.5200.000$0.00$50.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes0.8430.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$18.50
Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.4290.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$50.00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$50.00
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-12 02:21Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1199999998$500.00
05-12 02:20Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.2690251044$56.05
03-27 01:25Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.1049930337$166.24
03-09 20:15Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL0.9664880429$79.21
03-07 20:45Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?SELL0.22533007$225.33
03-02 21:32Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.6099999961$50.00
02-24 21:21Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.4291708405$50.00
02-24 18:58Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.7541178797$50.00
02-24 03:40Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.5$50.00
02-24 00:14Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.8499999996$100.00
02-24 00:05Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.6299999982$50.00
02-23 23:31Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.6799999984$50.00
02-10 07:50Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL0.0298339257$52.21
02-09 19:43US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?BUY0.0599999989$50.00
02-09 19:43US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?BUY0.0429844826$50.00