LyckyLibe
0x5443cb9df162336bc1f944325325c54722f2ae71
- Realised P&L
- $962.27
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $199.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.105 | $199.50 | +$0.50 |
| Oilers vs. Stars · Stars | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.30 |
| Oilers vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.78 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.98 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.570Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$64.66at 0.270Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$20.66at 0.597Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.25at 0.550Oilers vs. Stars
- +$17.20at 0.570Oilers vs. Panthers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5849999951 | $30.00 |
| 11-07 11:48 | Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $126.00 |
| 06-11 15:53 | Oilers vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.59 | $24.78 |
| 06-08 12:44 | Oilers vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.57 | $22.80 |
| 05-29 08:07 | Oilers vs. Stars | BUY | 0.54 | $24.30 |
| 05-26 09:59 | Stars vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.4 | $24.00 |
| 05-25 15:35 | Stars vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.4 | $24.00 |
| 05-22 08:01 | Oilers vs. Stars | BUY | 0.54 | $24.30 |
| 05-19 07:41 | Oilers vs. Stars | BUY | 0.55 | $24.75 |
| 05-16 07:22 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 04-26 16:52 | Lightning vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.5699998854 | $1.79 |
| 04-07 20:10 | Canucks vs. Stars | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 04-07 20:04 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.12 | $107.98 |
| 03-04 17:48 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.2699999993 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 20:04 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | SELL | 0.2361210357 | $203.55 |