PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LyckyLibe

0x5443cb9df162336bc1f944325325c54722f2ae71

Realised P&L
$962.27
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$199.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.1050.105$199.50+$0.50
Oilers vs. Stars · Stars0.5400.000$0.00$24.30
Oilers vs. Panthers · Panthers0.5900.000$0.00$24.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00$0.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00$0.98
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? · No0.0900.000$0.00$126.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5849999951$30.00
11-07 11:48Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?BUY0.09$126.00
06-11 15:53Oilers vs. PanthersBUY0.59$24.78
06-08 12:44Oilers vs. PanthersBUY0.57$22.80
05-29 08:07Oilers vs. StarsBUY0.54$24.30
05-26 09:59Stars vs. OilersBUY0.4$24.00
05-25 15:35Stars vs. OilersBUY0.4$24.00
05-22 08:01Oilers vs. StarsBUY0.54$24.30
05-19 07:41Oilers vs. StarsBUY0.55$24.75
05-16 07:22Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?BUY0.5$100.00
04-26 16:52Lightning vs. PanthersBUY0.5699998854$1.79
04-07 20:10Canucks vs. StarsBUY0.67$6.70
04-07 20:04Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?SELL0.12$107.98
03-04 17:48Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.2699999993$200.00
02-28 20:04Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?SELL0.2361210357$203.55