lochiloo
0x5442084915d026672a93f9a63c576e016d8bddf2
- Realised P&L
- $-41.40
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 291
- Open portfolio
- $101.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded291
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 8? · No | 0.992 | 0.994 | $51.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 8? · No | 0.993 | 0.997 | $25.08 | +$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 8? · No | 0.993 | 0.995 | $25.03 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 5? · No | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · No | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.11at 0.960Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on September 24?
- +$1.56at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20?
- +$1.38at 0.951Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 28?
- +$1.33at 0.953Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 28?
- +$1.04at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.992 | $51.00 |
| 10-07 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.10 |
| 10-07 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on October 7? | BUY | 0.994 | $14.74 |
| 10-07 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.995 | $50.99 |
| 10-06 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 10-05 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.9891265774 | $50.95 |
| 10-05 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.988 | $50.99 |
| 10-04 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.993 | $24.99 |
| 10-03 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.979 | $51.00 |
| 10-02 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.995 | $50.99 |
| 10-02 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.992 | $15.20 |
| 10-01 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.985 | $50.99 |
| 09-30 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 09-28 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $42.41 |
| 09-26 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |