TimPenis
0x54303e94abfea76222a4e57142fd24e96577fbbb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $122.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,230
- Open portfolio
- $440.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,230
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants · Lotte Giants | 0.500 | 0.735 | $57.33 | +$18.33 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · Doosan Bears | 0.390 | 0.515 | $52.82 | +$12.82 |
| KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers · LG Twins | 0.600 | 0.700 | $43.17 | +$6.17 |
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.610 | 0.690 | $41.85 | +$4.85 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · Doosan Bears | 0.420 | 0.495 | $41.25 | +$6.25 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins · LG Twins | 0.510 | 0.755 | $23.70 | +$7.70 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinos · NC Dinos | 0.610 | 0.580 | $20.92 | −$1.08 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinos · NC Dinos | 0.620 | 0.590 | $17.13 | −$0.87 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins · LG Twins | 0.530 | 0.445 | $13.43 | −$2.57 |
| Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.540 | 0.495 | $11.81 | −$1.07 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers · Kia Tigers | 0.520 | 0.455 | $11.38 | −$1.63 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions · Samsung Lions | 0.610 | 0.505 | $10.76 | −$2.24 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers · Kia Tigers | 0.550 | 0.360 | $10.47 | −$5.53 |
| LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · JD Gaming | 0.610 | 0.605 | $9.92 | −$0.08 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.470 | 1.000 | $6.38 | +$3.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.49at 0.357Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
- +$112.48at 0.156PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream
- +$111.94at 0.144Will América FC win on 2026-06-16?
- +$107.67at 0.327Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta
- +$93.98at 0.154Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:50 | UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.1899999981 | $3.02 |
| 09-17 23:09 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 23:08 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4219998658 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:05 | Bengals vs. Texans | BUY | 0.5699999108 | $1.98 |
| 09-17 20:33 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:31 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska | BUY | 0.64 | $1.40 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephens | BUY | 0.3899999554 | $1.40 |
| 09-17 17:30 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 06:28 | Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 06:26 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 06:24 | UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.3299999646 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 06:06 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:08 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4 | $2.79 |
| 09-16 22:13 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.53 | $1.59 |