PolyBot

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Traders

0x5424d40d3deef5b2dabede19ec0d385bd889b09b

0x5424d40d3deef5b2dabede19ec0d385bd889b09b

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$173.0k
Markets traded
674
Open portfolio
$15.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded674
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.7831.000$15.32+$3.32
Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat? · Yes0.1000.043$0.43−$0.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.4670.000$0.00−$28.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$6.25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$35.28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$13.02
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.5080.000$0.00−$10.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$2.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$12.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.2220.000$0.00−$5.46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$3.14
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5210.000$0.00−$1.4k
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$1000.00
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-06? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-30 16:35Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.55$122.99
05-12 13:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.7799999813$5.00
04-29 14:14Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.7834710676$12.00
04-27 10:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.16$10.00
04-27 10:39Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?BUY0.5289999942$9.72
04-27 10:39Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?BUY0.5599999978$9.73
04-21 07:10US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.8299999999$115.10
04-18 20:44Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.6125496983$39.61
04-16 15:04Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16?BUY0.16$94.96
04-11 12:54Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?SELL0.4135351134$1.3k
04-10 19:37Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?SELL0.0800360001$66.70
04-10 17:23Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?BUY0.82$1.3k
04-10 16:29Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?BUY0.4799999993$242.20
04-10 16:29Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?BUY0.119999999$100.00
04-10 16:28Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11?BUY0.3099999996$400.00