0x5424d40d3deef5b2dabede19ec0d385bd889b09b
0x5424d40d3deef5b2dabede19ec0d385bd889b09b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $173.0k
- Markets traded
- 674
- Open portfolio
- $15.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded674
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.193Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$1.6kat 0.280Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
- +$946.51at 0.620Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?
- +$715.54at 0.417Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$570.79at 0.712Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 16:35 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.55 | $122.99 |
| 05-12 13:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7834710676 | $12.00 |
| 04-27 10:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 10:39 | Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.5289999942 | $9.72 |
| 04-27 10:39 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27? | BUY | 0.5599999978 | $9.73 |
| 04-21 07:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $115.10 |
| 04-18 20:44 | Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6125496983 | $39.61 |
| 04-16 15:04 | Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16? | BUY | 0.16 | $94.96 |
| 04-11 12:54 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.4135351134 | $1.3k |
| 04-10 19:37 | Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0800360001 | $66.70 |
| 04-10 17:23 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.3k |
| 04-10 16:29 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10? | BUY | 0.4799999993 | $242.20 |
| 04-10 16:29 | Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam end in a draw? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-10 16:28 | Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11? | BUY | 0.3099999996 | $400.00 |