PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x542448075e0111c70f32b8bc5acbdacdccad392b

Realised P&L
$5.68
Volume
$243.87
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$4.45

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.3400.335$1.97$0.03
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.3300.325$1.97$0.03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4500.115$0.51$1.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:32Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
09-15 14:24Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-12 13:58Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.7899998657$2.00
09-12 03:42Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-08 14:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.71$2.00
09-08 06:46Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.699999965$2.00
09-07 20:07Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
09-07 17:33Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?BUY0.549999945$2.00
09-07 15:22Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
09-07 07:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
09-03 22:00Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
09-01 07:09Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
09-01 07:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4499999212$2.00
08-29 22:36Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.5399999684$1.71
08-29 22:35Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.3299998927$2.00