oxytozyn
0x541ed259c3d30364188b1b60cb84996fba23c80b
- Realised P&L
- $187.39
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 7? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.431 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$373.89at 0.087Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 15?
- +$87.23at 0.417Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 16?
- +$80.04at 0.467Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 12?
- +$46.86at 0.514Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?
- +$32.01at 0.617Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.053159032 | $2.46 |
| 10-09 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.1225338253 | $1.99 |
| 10-09 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.92 |
| 10-09 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.370538897 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 10-09 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.76 |
| 10-09 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1904761905 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.225 | $2.25 |
| 10-09 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 10-09 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.73 |
| 10-09 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-09 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-09 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.87 |