DanGabriel
0x541ce4a5104a6d110b6610d869851bee3f85c462
- Realised P&L
- $595.98
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$730.00at 0.171Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
- +$494.15at 0.695Will no one dissent September Fed decision?
- +$412.64at 0.710Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
- +$405.00at 0.190Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$391.49at 0.288Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 13:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $380.00 |
| 09-11 12:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.33 | $181.17 |
| 09-11 12:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.64 | $557.57 |
| 09-11 03:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 03:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 09-11 03:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.008 | $15.99 |
| 09-11 02:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $400.00 |
| 09-11 02:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.34 | $296.48 |
| 09-10 19:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $401.99 |
| 09-10 18:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 11:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.46 | $192.72 |
| 09-09 02:09 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.64 |
| 09-08 18:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.54 | $269.99 |
| 09-08 16:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 16:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |